Showing posts with label BCG. Show all posts
Showing posts with label BCG. Show all posts

Monday, August 30, 2021

Possible Cures for Type-1 in the News (August)

This blog is a collection of short updates, mostly from the ADA conference.

Diet (Macronutrients) Does not Impact T1D Risk

Macronutrients are carbohydrates, protein, fat, sugar, and fiber (things that you eat large amounts of).  This study also looked at glycemic index and glycemic load.  It did not look at micronutrients, such as vitamins and minerals (things that you eat small amounts of).  This study enrolled people who already tested positive for autoantibodies to see how long it took them to show symptoms of type-1 diabetes.  

This study covered 881 people divided into four groups by age: 1-4 years old, 5-12 y/o, 13-22 y/o, and 23 and over.  Here is the summary of their findings:

Given multiple comparisons, there was no significant association between rate of progression from IA to T1D and daily dietary intake of any macronutrients analyzed, after adjusting for [confounders]. ... Baseline dietary macronutrient intake does not appear to influence rate of T1D diagnosis in children, adolescents, or adults with IA.  

This study is strong evidence that feeding low carb, low sugar, low fat, or any other type of macronutrient based diet cannot prevent (or even delay) the onset of type-1 diabetes, at least among people who have autoantibodies.

Abstract: https://diabetes.diabetesjournals.org/content/70/Supplement_1/1116-P

Maternal C-Peptide Generation

It has been known that women with T1D often have increased levels of C-peptide when pregnant, and especially later in pregnancy. In the past this has been considered a hopeful sign that pregnancy caused beta cells to regrow (generating the C-peptide) and that perhaps research into this phenomena could lead to a way to regrow beta cells in others with T1D.

Unfortunately, a study at ADA2021 implies that beta cells are not regrowing.  Rather, the fetuses C-peptides are moving across the placenta so they are found in the mother.  To quote the abstract:

... This suggests transfer of C-peptide from fetal to maternal serum and is inconsistent with pregnancy-related β-cell regeneration.

Tweet: https://twitter.com/ClaireMeek5/status/1409028250450509824
Full Paper: https://care.diabetesjournals.org/content/early/2021/06/05/dc21-0028 

Leptin

Leptin is a hormone generated by fat cells which helps the body regulate hunger and energy use, and may regulate other body processes as well.  Back in 2011 there was hope that it might become a cure for T1D, but clinical trials were unsuccessful.  However, there is still hope that Leptin (in addition to standard insulin use) might end up helping to treat T1D by lowering insulin spikes after meals, resulting in better control.

A poster at ADA reported on a phase-I study (7 treated people, 3 in a control group).  Basically, they gave a small dose of Leptin to people with T1D who were fasting, and then cut their pump basal insulin by 50%.  The control group's blood sugar and glucagon levels went up (as expected), but the treated group's levels went down, even though they were getting less insulin.  The effect lasted less than 3 hours.  This is a good result, if you are positioning Leptin as a "take with meals" drug to lower blood sugar spikes caused by eating.  However, this is not a cure, and I don't expect to cover it in the future.

ADA 2021 had results for a 10 person study: https://www.hcplive.com/view/oral-leptin-formulation-offers-short-term-benefit-type-1-diabetes-patients
Abstract of poster: https://diabetes.diabetesjournals.org/content/70/Supplement_1/121-LB

Viacyte Update

Viacyte was in the news this summer because they released some data at ADA (American Diabetes Association) 2021 Scientific Sessions.  Unfortunately, the data they released was from one person who was part of their "PEC-Direct" study.  The PEC-Direct study still requires people to take immune suppressive drugs for the rest of their lives.  Therefore, I don't consider this to be a cure, because it swaps one drug regimen (insulin replacement) for another drug (immune suppression).  Immune suppression has serious long term side effects, possibly worse than T1D itself.  Furthermore, I don't put much stock in single person results, so their press release had two reasons for me not to get excited.

The data showed that one person's transplanted beta cells were working well 9 months after the transplant.  Her A1c was 6.6% (compared to 7.4% before the operation) and her time within range was 84% (up from 54%).  She was still injecting insulin, however.

Viacyte is also running another study called PEC-Encap.  This study will use encapsulated stem cells and so these people will not need to take immune suppressive drugs for the rest of their lives.  I do consider that a cure.  Last I heard (from the JDCA) they were hoping to have interim results from this study in the second half of 2021 (soon!)  Those are the results I care about.

JDCA update on Viacyte from early 2021: http://thejdca.org/viacyte-2021
Viacyte press release on PEC-Direct: https://viacyte.com/press-releases/viacyte-reports-compelling-preliminary-clinical-data-from-islet-cell-replacement-therapy-for-patients-with-type-1-diabetes/
Viacyte press release on PEC-Encap: https://viacyte.com/press-releases/viacyte-announces-initiation-of-phase-2-study-of-encapsulated-cell-ther-apy-for-type-1-diabetes-patients/
News coverage: https://endpts.com/after-years-of-failure-viacyte-shows-off-first-proof-of-concept-for-diabetes-stem-cell-transplants/

Viacyte is part of a long line of attempts to cure T1D by encapsulating beta cells.  This sounds easy: just wrap the implanted cells in a membrane that lets sugar and oxygen in, insulin and carbon dioxide out, and does not allow T-cells to enter).  Seems straightforward.   For all of the last 25+ years there have been companies working on this, and none has succeeded yet.  So it is clear to me that there is something more complex and difficult about this path than we currently know.  At the moment, I think there are 3 companies working on this approach that are in human trials, or close to it.

BCG News

Dr. Faustman's lab released their most recent BCG result as a poster at the ADA 2021 conference.  They reported on demethylation of signature Treg genes.  BCG (Bacillus Calmette–Guérin) is a biologic which has been given to over a billion people (in low dose) as a tuberculosis vaccine, and is also approved (in much higher doses) as a bladder cancer treatment. It is a generic drug with a very long record of safety. 

BCG was tested as a T1D cure or preventative several times in the early 2000s (including once by this same lab), and all those clinical trials were unsuccessful.  However, Dr. Faustman's continues to run clinical trials with BCG.

In my view, these results are another step in the collapse of BCG as a possible cure. When this research started 20 years ago, it was based on curing mice. Then, the first results in people (in a tiny phase-I trial) showed very small progress to a cure in people. Later, a follow on trial showed no progress to a cure in people, but maybe small progress to treatment. Now we have these results which don't show any progress to treatment, but instead are looking at demethylation, a type of gene expression change.  The particular change they report certainly does not cure T1D, and may have nothing to do with T1D at all. By itself, it does not show progress to either a cure or treatment.

Press coverage: https://www.fiercebiotech.com/research/ada-tb-vaccine-repurposed-type-1-diabetes-restores-gene-expression-key-immune-cells?fbclid=IwAR0Jhuk8gC-IjQG6qyoX7u8UYDuP00hRtjrF5TT33RVIqnG91FnR84jazmM

Poster: https://diabetes.diabetesjournals.org/content/70/Supplement_1/1142-P

 

Joshua Levy
http://cureresearch4type1diabetes.blogspot.com
publicjoshualevy at gmail dot com
All the views expressed here are those of Joshua Levy, and nothing here is official JDRF or JDCA news, views, policies or opinions. My daughter has type-1 diabetes and participates in clinical trials, which might be discussed here. My blog contains a more complete non-conflict of interest statement. Thanks to everyone who helps with the blog.

Saturday, March 27, 2021

Possible Cures for Type-1 in the News (March)

This posting is a collection of shorter news items. 

Fenofibrate Extends Cure Of T1D In Single Case Study

I originally reported on Fenofibrate in June 2019:
https://cureresearch4type1diabetes.blogspot.com/2020/06/strong-results-from-single-case-use-of.html
This was a single person case study (so not a clinical study), but the results were very strong.  The person was treated during her honeymoon phase, and has not needed to inject insulin since.

The update is that she has now gone about 31 months without needing injected insulin.  This is up from 21 months at the time of my previous report.  She continues to take one pill a day.  I know of nothing unique about this person or her type 1 diabetes, so there is every hope that this success can be tested and the used on others in the future.

Oral Insulin is Unsuccessful For At-Risk Patients (Pre-POINT-Early Study)

Rational: One of the autoantibodies that is associated with type-1 diabetes targets insulin.  Therefore, there is a theory that giving insulin to people with T1D might prevent or delay the onset of type-1 diabetes by training the body not to produce this autoantibody.  The process is vaguely similar to giving small amounts of peanut proteins to people with peanut allergies.  But I want to stress that T1D is not a classic allergy.  The mechanism for T1D is very different than the mechanism of classic allergies. 

Results: There were no statically significant results in the primary outcome.   "Immune responses to insulin were observed in children who received both insulin and placebo, and the trial did not demonstrate an effect on its primary outcome." (Quote from the abstract, but I've removed the numbers to make the English flow better.)  So from an effectiveness point of view, the study was unsuccessful.

Trial Registry: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02547519

Discussion: Oral Insulin has been tested as a possible cure or prevention for T1D for longer than this blog has existed.  In that time, several different clinical trials have been run.  All have been unsuccessful, like this one.   A few have been unsuccessful, but the researchers did extra analysis after the study was over, and found that maybe if they had tested oral insulin in a different subgroup of patients, then it might have worked.  That, in turn, has kept hope of oral insulin alive, and the cycle repeats.

There are three clinical trials of oral insulin which are currently running.  One is a 26 person study by a private company (Oramed).  Clinical Trial Registry: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04150107

The other two are being done at Technische Universität München, and are called Fr1da and GPPAD-POInT.  Both are phase-II studies, of 220 and 1040 people, respectively.  The study reported above is a "proof of concept" version of the GPPAD-POInT. 

 
I'm often asked "If the proof concept Pre-POInT-Early study was unsuccessful, why then continue with the much larger, much more expensive GPPAD-POInT study?"  A detailed answer to that question would not fit here, but two things to remember are:
  1. There is no requirement of a successful small study in order to run a larger study.  Running a clinical trial requires a safety document (called an IND), money, and interest.  You do not need good results from previous studies, if you already have money.  There is never any regulatory review that previous studies were "successful enough" to start another study.  If the researcher is committed, and has the money, and the safety document, bad results from previous studies don't matter.
  2. Researchers are naturally optimistic, and we want them to be.  Most research fails, but we cannot let that stop research in general, or there would be no new breakthroughs.  So we need optimistic (even overly optimistic) researchers to push forward even in the presence of some bad news.  Of course, we don't want to waste money on research which has a history of failures, either, and so it is a tough judgement call.

More Bad News from a BCG Meta Analysis

Years ago, there was a lot of hope that BCG might cure type-1 diabetes, and this lead to several clinical trials.  All of those were unsuccessful.  The only BCG trial still ongoing is aimed  aimed at lowering A1c numbers (so treatment rather than a cure).  Recently a group of researchers, who were not previously involved in BCG research, published a meta analysis which combined data from four different clinical trials of BCG.  Each trial involved giving BCG to people with established T1D and measuring A1c and C-peptides.  The results did not show statistically significant improvement for people treated with BCG:
So even as a treatment, it appears that BCG is unsuccessful.


Joshua Levy
http://cureresearch4type1diabetes.blogspot.com
publicjoshualevy at gmail dot com
All the views expressed here are those of Joshua Levy, and nothing here is official JDRF or JDCA news, views, policies or opinions. My daughter has type-1 diabetes and participates in clinical trials, which might be discussed here. My blog contains a more complete non-conflict of interest statement. Thanks to everyone who helps with the blog.

 

Saturday, September 29, 2018

Dropping Four Research Programs

Every year in September or October I write a blog posting which summarizes all research being done in humans, aimed at curing type-1 diabetes.  That blog is going to be published in 2-4 weeks.   While putting that blog together I have found several research projects which I should not cover any more, and I'm listed those here, with a brief note on why they are no longer of interest.

I understand that this posting is a downer, and I'm sorry for that, but it is important to know what studies are no longer looking promising, and why.  Research naturally gets a lot of press when there is good news, but it's important to keep track of the bad news, and the "no news is bad news" situations as well.

Dendritic Cell Therapy  (DV-100) by DiaVacs
This trial was supposed to start in 2013, but never did.  The company is working on a follow on product, DV-200, and when that starts clinical trials I will follow it.  But since there has been a five year break between DV-100 and DV-200, I'm going to wait until a trial actually starts before restarting coverage.

BCG by Faustman at Harvard
This research is being removed for two reasons:
  • Her phase-II trial is not using C-peptide data as either a primary or secondary outcome.  C-peptide is the standard measure for progress to a cure, so not having it as a primary or even secondary outcome means this research is no longer "aimed a curing type-1 diabetes".  (I will continue to follow it, and especially any C-peptide data that comes out, but unless C-peptides are a primary or secondary outcome, it is not cure focused for me.)
  • The phase-I trial extended results show that Dr. Faustman's original theory (the TNF theory) of how BCG might cure type-1 diabetes is wrong.  The paper said specifically that the theory did not explain the results seen, and presented a new theory.  However the new theory is based on how the body digests carbs (not regenerating beta cells), and therefore is not a cure focused theory.  (Indeed, several type-2 diabetes treatments are based on similar theories).  So even if this theory is correct, the result would be treatment, not cure.


Obviously, this research group is continuing to talk about curing type-1 diabetes, but one the rules of my blog is "Actions speak louder than words" and if the clinical trial is not focused on C-peptide data, I don't think they are focused on a cure, no matter what is said.

Rilonacept by White at University of Texas
This group published their phase-I results in June 2018, but they were unsuccessful: "Rilonacept treatment for 6 months is well-tolerated in individuals with T1D of recent onset, but is unlikely to be efficacious as a single agent in preserving beta cell function."  So I don't expect any follow up work.

The Sydney Project (Encapsulated Stem Cells)
I can not find any recent references to this project.  The closest I can find is an encapsulated stem cell project being funded by the Australian Foundation for Diabetes Research.  It is doing animal research right now, so not clinical trials.


Joshua Levy 
http://cureresearch4type1diabetes.blogspot.com 
publicjoshualevy at gmail dot com
All the views expressed here are those of Joshua Levy, and nothing here is official JDRF, JDCA, or Bigfoot Biomedical news, views, policies or opinions. In my day job, I work in software for Bigfoot Biomedical. My daughter has type-1 diabetes and participates in clinical trials, which might be discussed here. My blog contains a more complete non-conflict of interest statement. Thanks to everyone who helps with the blog.

Friday, July 20, 2018

Dr. Faustman Publishes Follow On BCG Data From Phase-I Trial

Dr. Faustman published a paper [r2] and a poster [r1] that contained results from an extension to her Phase-I trial [r17].  These results have generated a lot of buzz, and the study was complex, so this is going to be a long post with four sections:  First, a quick summary.  Second, a more detailed discussion of her results.  Third, a discussion of the buzz surrounding those results.  And fourth, a discussion of where her research goes from here.  The [dN] marks mean that there is more discussion about this point at the end of the blog post, and the [rN] marks are references which are also at the end of the posting.

I've written a total of 18 blog entries on this line of research over the last 10+ years, and you can read them all here:  https://cureresearch4type1diabetes.blogspot.com/search/label/Faustman

The short history is this: Dr. Faustman is trying to cure type-1 diabetes by using BCG, a widely used tuberculosis vaccine.  Dr. Faustman published phase-I clinical trial data in 2012, and is now publishing data from an extension to that trial. 

Quick Summary of Results and Importance

All of these points are discussed in a lot more detail below, especially including the data they are based on, and how I got from the data to these summary points:
  1. C-peptide is the FDA, researcher, and industry standard for evaluating cures for type-1 diabetes, and the C-peptide data reported here shows the BCG did not cause a rise in C-peptide levels.  These results mean that this extended phase-I trial has worse results/is farther away from a cure, than the initial phase-I study reported years ago.   The first phase-I showed tiny increases in C-peptide, but here, no clinically significant increases are seen.
  2. A1c data is generally used to evaluate treatments for type-1 (not cures).  The A1c data is the best data reported here (an improvement of about 0.8), and is similar to several other treatments already available or in later phases of clinical trials.  All the data presented here is based on a very small number of people who actually got BCG (3 people in some cases 12 in others).  Furthermore, it is inconsistent.  At some points in time the BCG group did worse than the control groups, while at other times they did better. 
  3. Dr. Faustman had a theory as to why BCG could cure type-1 diabetes.  The paper is clear that the A1c results seen here are not caused by this theory.  The paper presents a new theory to explain the cause of these results.  
  4. There is a phase-II trial underway (with results expected in 2023), so we will have more data then.
  5. And finally, the primary end point for the phase-I trial was autoreactive t-cells, and this extension to the phase-I trial did not include data on autoreactive t-cells, which means the clinical trial was unsuccessful.
Results and Discussion

As with all science, the important information is the results of the study, so let's take a look at the data presented (and the data that was not presented):

A1c Data
Graph is from Dr. Faustman's paper, and is presented
 for educational purposes only.

The best data in the paper was A1c data.  The graph at the right (taken from the paper) shows the A1c numbers for the people treated with BCG (in red) vs. two types of control groups (in black). [r2]

You can see that the people treated with BCG had worse A1c numbers for the first two years after the treatment.  They then improved noticeably for the next two years, and then gradually increased for the next four years.  Overall the patients had worse A1c numbers for the first two years, and better for the next six years.

Importance of the A1c Data

For me, this data does not support the idea that BCG is a cure for type-1 diabetes.  It doesn't even support the idea that BCG is a treatment for type-1 diabetes.

First and most importantly, A1c data is typically used to measure treatments not cures [d1].  This is for a very good reason: many things, unrelated to a cure, impact A1c numbers.  Being more aggressive about insulin dosing,  going on a low carb diet, using a CGM, or taking an SGLT or GLP-1 drug can all impact A1c numbers as seen here [d2], but none of them are a path to a cure.

On the other hand, the only thing that impacts C-peptide numbers is the body generating its own insulin [d3].  That is why researchers commonly use (and the FDA expects) C-peptide as the end point for clinical trials aimed at curing type-1 diabetes [d5].   Generating your own insulin and maintaining that production is what cures type-1 diabetes, and it is exactly what C-peptides measure.  This is an important point and discussed in detail in [r9] (the conclusions of the D-Cure workshop).

Second, the data above in inconsistent: worse for two years and better for six.  If you are going to argue that the good numbers (3-5 years out) are really caused by BCG, then you have to assume that the bad numbers (0-2 years out) are also caused by the BCG.  After all those numbers are closer to the BCG dose.  It seems much more reasonable to me to assume that neither the bad numbers nor the good numbers had much to do with the BCG dose.

Third, existing treatments have already shown better and more consistent improvements in A1c than are seen here.  These are described in more detail in [d2] and [r11-13].  If I wanted to get excited about new treatments for type-1 diabetes, BCG would get in line with the many treatments which have stronger evidence in larger clinical trials [d10].

Fourth, the eight year data is based on 3 people, and the five year data on 12 people, and there are two problems with these numbers.  The big, obvious problem is that they are tiny, especially the 8 year data [d6]. The second issue is that more people were added after the end of the phase-I trial.  This is unusual.  Normally an "extension" or a "follow on" trial simply follows the same group of people (or a subset) for a longer period of time.  It's quite unusual to see new patients added after the end of the trial as described by the clinical trial registry.   

The A1c results also have a serious problem with "results switching" described [d7] and [r16].

As a side note, even as a measure of treatment success, A1c is falling out of favor as compared to "time spent in range" and quality of life measures as proposed by the "Beyond A1c" movement:
https://diatribe.org/public-workshop-outcomes-beyond-a1c-brings-patient-preferences-fda

C-Peptide Data

As stated previously, C-peptide numbers are the best measure of progress towards a cure [d4], so these are the numbers we should pay the most attention to.  Here are a few quotes from the paper: 
"The BCG-treated type 1 diabetic subjects at year 4 after glucagon challenge had a negligible to no return of clinically significant C-peptide. "
"The human pancreas after BCG even at four years after repeat vaccinations did not secrete significant insulin as clinically measured by C-peptide."
"Therefore we concluded that BCG vaccinations did not induce a clinically meaningful return of C-peptide levels in the pancreas by regeneration" [r2]
The paper reported that at 4 years (the point of highest A1c effect) the C-peptide numbers for the treated patients were "in the range of 2–3 pmol/L."  Table 1c in the paper included C-peptide numbers, but the numeric data was not included in the paper or the supplemental materials.  My eyeballing of the data is that the control group started off just below 2 pmol/L and the treated group started off just above 2 pmol/L.

Importance of the C-Peptide Data

In terms of measuring progress towards a cure, C-peptide data is the most important data.  When the FDA, EMA, or other researchers evaluate this study, it is the key data they will look at [d11].  It shows no progress towards a cure.  That is bad news for BCG-as-a-cure research.

Several Additional Metabolites

In addition to A1c and C-Peptide data, the paper also reported on a variety of metabolites.  These are various chemical markers of what is happening inside the body.  The purpose of these measurements is to try to figure out what was causing the changes to A1c seen in the study.  If you care about these details, then I urge you to read the paper [r2].

The statistically significant differences between people with type-1 who were given and not given BCG are summarized as follows:
In the purine pathway, adenine, N6-carbamoylthreonyladenosine, 7-methylguanine and N2,N2-dimethylguanosine all statistically showed significant increases in BCG-treated T1Ds compared to untreated T1Ds [r2]
Autoreactive T-Cell Data

This study reports on an extension to the phase-I trial, but it does not report on the primary outcome of that study (autoreactive t-cells) [r6].  In the world of clinical trials, this means this extension to the phase-I trial was unsuccessful.

A clinical trial is considered successful if there are good, statistically significant results for the primary outcome, using standard data analysis.  You can read a lot more about this definition here:
https://cureresearch4type1diabetes.blogspot.com/p/recently-on-couple-of-occasions-ive.html
The key point is that not reporting on a primary end point, means the trial has failed.

The autoreactive t-cells results were involved in the "results switching" described [d7] and [r16].

The Change of Theory

Until this publication, Dr. Faustman believed that BCG worked by causing the body to generate more TNF, and this TNF caused the body to generate fewer autoreactive T-cells [r17].  Fewer of these bad T-cells resulted in a cure [d9].  She has published a few papers and edited a book on this theory [r10].

However, in this paper she makes it clear that this theory is not causing the A1c changes.  To quote her paper:
"The mechanism for lowered HbA1c values was not equivalent to the NOD [non-obese diabetic] mouse pancreas regeneration after BCG treatment" [r2]
And the paper describes a replacement theory:
"[BCG causes] a cellular switch from primarily oxidative phosphorylation, a low glucose utilization state, to augmented early aerobic glycolysis, a high glucose utilization state associated with high purine metabolism" [r2]
BCG lowers A1c by changing the way the body uses glucose, so that it burns more, which lowers blood glucose levels and therefore A1c numbers.  The new theory and the old theory are completely different.  Among other things, the old theory was based on immunology, while the new theory is based on glucose metabolism.  The new theory could replace the old theory, or both could be happening in parallel.

The Importance of The Change In Theory

Initially, I didn't think this change mattered much.  I'm much more focused on the question of effectiveness than mechanism.   (Put another way: I want a cure for my daughter, and I don't care exactly why it works, so long as it does work.)  But then I realized the implications of this change in theory.

BCG has finished a phase-I clinical trial.  At this point, most drugs would have two reasons to think they might be successful: the results of their phase-I trial and the results of the previous animal experiments.   That means that even if the phase-I trial was unsuccessful, the researcher could still rely on the animal trials for motivation, and try another human trial to capitalize on whatever good results were seen in the animal studies.   This is particularly important for BCG because the phase-I trial did not lead to successful C-peptide numbers.

However, Dr. Faustman is now saying that the TNF theory did cause the good results in mice, but is not causing the good results in people.  So therefore, it is hard to go back to her animal research to get support for her current human research.  And the human research itself is not yielding good results [r21].

Why The Hype?

A big part of the reason this study is important, is because of the buzz it has generated.  Therefore, understanding where that buzz comes from is important.  In my opinion, the results from the paper don't merit much excitement.  The hype comes from the news coverage of the press release, and I think it is always a mistake to react to hype in press releases when the underlying paper does not generate the same level of excitement.  This is a general problem in medical research and I'd recommend reading the articles listed here [r14].  Those articles cover the problem from several different points of view.

 The press release starts out with this sentence:
"Long-term follow-up of participants in clinical trials of a generic vaccine to reverse advanced type 1 diabetes finds significant clinical benefits, including restoration of near-normal blood sugar levels." [r3]
Consider the word "reversal", which is often interpreted to mean "cure".  (Compare "drug X reverses disease Y to "drug X cures disease Y".  Same meaning.)  Reversal is also in that first sentence to refer to results in people.   However, in the body of the paper, different forms of reversal are used 5 times (3 times for mice, 1 time to say the results did not include reversal, and 1 time for speculation about reversal).  Never in the paper was the word "reversal" used to describe the results in people, yet it was used in exactly that way in the first sentence of the press release.

Also, the press release uses the term "near-normal blood sugar levels" repeatedly.  Many newspapers interpreted this to be near-cure, and wrote their headlines accordingly.  But let me ask you a simple question:  If someone has type-1 diabetes and uses a lot of technology and generally works hard at treating their type-1, and has an A1c in the mid or low 6s, would you describe that as "near-normal blood sugar levels"?  Maybe.  But that says nothing about if they are close to a cure for type-1 diabetes.  Saying "near-normal" generates a lot of hype, but a cure is based on not needing to constantly treat your type-1 diabetes.  And the study is clear:  No one treated their type-1 diabetes any less because of the BCG: not fewer blood checks, not less insulin.  Everyone continued their standard care: dosing for what they ate, counting carbs, and anything else that we would associate with type-1 diabetes [d8].

The subtitle of the press release is:
"Mass. General study finds novel mechanism underlying stable, durable blood sugar control" [r3]
Now take a look at the previous graph of A1c numbers.  Does that look stable to you?  Does it look durable?  Not to me.  Quite the opposite, the good results are completely dependent on when you look at the data.  Two years after treatment the numbers are bad.  Between four and six years they are good.  At the end of the study, they are heading back towards where they started.  This is neither stable or durable.

The press release gives specific A1c data for 3 years and 4 years, and the average for the four year period from 3-7 years.  The 4 year numbers are the best found in the study, the 3 year second best, and the 3-7 year time frame the "good years" of the study.  However, the 1st and 2nd years (when results are bad) are not mentioned, and the average presented in the press release specifically excludes those years. It's like calculating a child's GPA but excluding their worst grades.  Of course it looks good, but it doesn't represent their real level of accomplishment.

Where BCG Research Goes From Here

One answer to this question is simple: a phase-II study is already underway, so we just wait until 2023 for those results to be published.  For BCG to be successful as a cure, it needs a specific kind of good news from the phase-II study: C-peptide data which is both statistically significant and clinically significant, and which comes from a large group of people with a good control group.  As a treatment (something taken in addition to insulin) then A1c data is enough.  It would still need to be statistically significant and clinically significant, and come from a large group of people with a good control group.  But all of that is possible from the phase-II trial.

Another answer is this: At this point, both publications from the phase-I trial were unsuccessful.  While an unsuccessful phase-I trial usually ends the line of research, this is not always true.  My guess is that about 20% of the current current phase-II trials are occurring after an unsuccessful phase-I result.  So there is always some hope.

But the real question is, how optimistic should we be about this line of research?  In my opinion, not very optimistic.  Above, I've described why the C-peptide and A1c data in this specific paper don't give me much hope for success in the future.  However, when I look at the (roughly) 15 year history of BCG trials in people, and put this paper into the context of the previous BCG research, I see a couple of additional red flags:

First is the lack of forward progress, given 15+ years / 34 million dollars [r20].  Fifteen years is enough time to get from the start of a phase-I to end of phase-III trials, and $34 million is more money than most academic researchers can spend on one line of research.  But for all that, I don't see any forward progress.  In 2003, we had no data on BCG's curative effect on people.  Now, we still don't have any positive C-peptide data to answer that question.  The hope is that the phase-II trial will answer it in 2023 or so.

Second, is the changing target of the research.  Successful research tends to have one target ("primary end point"), and gathers more evidence and stronger evidence on that target over time.  That is the progress that researchers expect.  However this line of research has changed its target repeatedly.  When the phase-I study started, the primary end point was autoreactive t-cells [r6].  When the phase-I study ended, the headline data was C-peptides [r17], and now this extension headlines A1c data [r2].

Even worse, this paper conflicts with the previous paper, even though they are both based on data from the phase-I trial. The initial phase-I paper showed: small, good results for C-peptide, no good results for A1c data, and support for the TNF hypothesis.  This paper shows no good results for C-peptide, mild, good results for A1c data, and support for a sugar metabolism hypothesis, but not a TNF hypothesis.  Good science builds on itself: the first results might be small, but the next results are stronger.  But here, the next results are not bigger, they are different.  That is not the normal course of scientific progress.

Personal Note

Many people, with wildly different viewpoints, reviewed this blog posting.  I want to thank everyone who spent time on it.  It needed a lot of work, and benefited from every reviewer's feedback.   All mistakes are my own.

Extra Discussion [d-Numbered] Footnotes

[d1] Consider a simple example: injecting insulin.  If you inject more insulin your A1c will go down, but your C-peptide numbers will not change.  A researcher who is treating A1c as progress toward a cure will see injecting more insulin as progress towards a cure.  That is why researchers measure C-peptide to evaluate progress to a cure.

Or consider this: "in the 1990s, the FDA began to approve drugs for the treatment of diabetes based upon hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) as the outcome. The prevailing belief was that risk reduction could be achieved by a clinical focus on reaching target values of HbA1c" [r18]

[d2]  For instance this slide [r20] presents data from four different groups treated with different type-2 diabetes medicines (two medicines at two doses).  All four of these groups dropped the same or more as is seen here.  And [r21] shows that simply using CGMs can lower A1c numbers in pregnant women about the same as seen here.  And [r22] shows that a new class of drugs (approved in type-2s and being tested in type-1s) called SGLTs lower A1cs about as much as seen here.  And the list goes on.

The bottom line is that the average improvements seen in this study are similar to the average improvements seen in many other treatments, which are much closer to FDA approval (or already have EMA approval) for type-1 diabetes. 

When we look at A1c for people who got BCG over the life of the study, it averages about 6.6 which is about 0.8 below the 7.4 where it started.  (The result is a little worse (about 0.5) if we compare it to the control group, which started at about 7.1).

For comparison, all of these treatments have gotten results similar to the 0.8 improvement seen here in either type-1 diabetes, type-2 diabetes, or both:
    Semaglutide: A1c improvement of 1.5 [r20]
    Delaglutide: A1c improvement of 1.2 [r20]
    CGM use during pregnacy: A1c improvement of 0.6 [r21]
    SGLT2 inhibitors: A1c improvements of 0.5 to 0.8 [r22]

[d3] As an example, When was the last time your doctor said "If you do X, Y, or Z you will have better A1c numbers next time?  We get it all the time.  But when was the last time your doctor said "If you do X, Y, or Z your c-peptide number will be better"?  Never.  This shows both that A1c is a measure of treatment, and why it is not a good measure of a cure.

[d4]  For example the following quote is from the D-Cure workshop of international experts held in Barcelona in April 2007 [r9]:
"It is now an accepted approach to evaluate endogenous insulin secretion by measuring C-peptide levels (with highly sensitive and normalized measurement methods) in response to a physiologic stimulus (liquid mixed-meal) under standardized conditions."
This report goes on to specifically to consider and reject A1c as a measure of a cure:
"differences in HbA1c between treatment and placebo groups are minimal and thus cannot serve as robust measures of efficacy"
[d5] I reviewed all phase-III clinical trials aimed at curing type-1 diabetes in the last 15 years.  These are in the final stage of clinical trials, which lead (if successful) to FDA approval.  There have been 11 by my count, testing a total of 4 different treatments.   Of these, 6 used C-peptide as their sole primary outcome.  None used A1c alone as their sole primary outcome.  One used it as part of a dual primary outcome. Four used other measures as their primary outcome.

[d6]  It was not supposed to be that small.  The phase-I trial was supposed to have 12 treated people and 12 control [r6].  However, for reasons never published, the original trial only gave 3 people BCG.

[d7] Finally, these A1c results represent what is commonly called "results switching" in clinical trials, and this is very dangerous in reporting results.  Results switching is when the researcher says they are going to report one result (and designs the trial to do this), but then ends up reporting on a different result.  One of the reasons the FDA has a public clinical trial registry [r19] is specifically so that researchers need to publicly announce what their end points are ahead of time.  This prevents them from selecting end points to create success after the data is gathered.

Obviously, it is bad when secondary results are switched, and worse when a secondary result is used to replace an unsuccessful primary result.  However, in this study we see the worse form of "results switch" where an unsuccessful primary end point (autoreactive t-cells) is not reported, and replaced with a better, but still mediocre, result (A1c) which was previously not part of the study at all!

There are several articles on results swapping listed here [r16].

[d8] Compare Dr. Faustman's use of language in the press release with Dr. Bernstein's use of language.  Dr. Bernstein uses a low carb diet and aggressive insulin dosing to achieve A1c numbers lower than those reported in Dr. Faustman's research.  His target A1c is 4.5, much lower than Dr. Faustman achieved here.  However, Dr. Bernstein never refers to curing type-1 diabetes.  He is very clear that the low A1c numbers he aims for might be the same as someone without type-1 diabetes, but that is in no way a cure.

To put it bluntly: if you think Dr. Faustman's A1c numbers in the mid-6s represents a near cure, then you would have to agree that Dr. Bernstein's A1c numbers in the mid-4s would represent an actual cure, but no one does that.

[d9] The essence of Dr. Faustman's older theory on how to cure type-1 diabetes is:
  • BCG causes the body to generate TNF
  • TNF causes fewer autoreactive T-cells
  • Fewer autoreactive T-cells results in natural beta cell regrowth and more insulin generation
  • More insulin generation is the path to curing type-1
BCG (Bacillus Calmette–Guérin) is a biologic that has been given to over a billion people (in low dose) as a tuberculosis vaccine, and is also approved (in much higher doses) as a bladder cancer treatment. It is a generic drug with a very long record of safety.

TNF ("Tumor necrosis factor" or TNF-alpha) is a naturally occurring protein that can cause cells to die. It is involved in the natural regulation of immune cells.

"Autoreactive" refers to immune cells that mistakenly attack the body's own beta cells. The destruction of these beta cells leads to type-1 diabetes. This is sometimes referred to as an "autoimmune attack" because the body's own immune system attacks the body itself.

Many more details are available here [r10].

[d10] For A1c improvements, my standard (which I think is pretty common among both researchers and the FDA) is that changes below 0.5 are not of importance, changes above 1.0 are definitely important, and numbers between these are of mild importance.  So the BCG results (if supported by larger trials) would be in the mild interest area.

[d11]  Here are three supporting quotes:
Clinical studies aiming at preservation of beta cell function should be randomized, preferably double-blind and placebo-controlled and should include patients with a documented residual beta cell function. The primary outcome should preferably consist of co-primary endpoints including not only the change from baseline in C-peptide (e.g. C-peptide AUC) or, if appropriately justified, the percentage of patients with C-peptide increases above a clinically meaningful threshold following a physiological stimulus (e.g. liquid mixed meal) under standardized conditions but also HbA1c, frequency of hypoglycaemic episodes, particularly severe events, or the percentage of patients not requiring insulin therapy or with a relevant reduction in insulin requirements. Any of these endpoints not included as co-primary endpoint should be evaluated as important secondary endpoint. [r22]
FDA and EMA stand ready to approve disease modifying therapies for T1D. and have expressed reasonable expectations for demonstrating efficacy of therapies aimed at preserving insulin secretion in new onset patients. It is unclear what minimum treatment effect on preservation of C-peptide secretion, the regulatory primary efficacy endpoint, would be considered clinically meaningful for a new onset intervention. A small effect size (10-20% at two years) might be enough if the safety profile is very benign. [r23]
And finally, compare these two quotes from [r24]:
Efficacy endpoints. Stimulated C-peptide response is accepted as the regulatory primary endpoint because it is a direct measure of reducing the hormonal deficiency state of T1DM.
Secondary endpoints and their considerations. HbA1c is the gold standard measure of glycemic control, but it is an insensitive measure of improved beta cell function resulting from an intervention. 

Reference [r-Numbered] Footnotes

[r1] The Press Release: https://www.massgeneral.org/News/pressrelease.aspx?id=2262
and the Faustman lab FAQ is here:
https://www.faustmanlab.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/FAQs.pdf

[r2] The Paper: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41541-018-0062-8  and this includes supplementary data here: https://static-content.springer.com/esm/art%3A10.1038%2Fs41541-018-0062-8/MediaObjects/41541_2018_62_MOESM1_ESM.pdf

[r3] Abstract of The Poster:
https://plan.core-apps.com/tristar_ada18/abstract/5188446740e191fd289345d56a7ee704
This tweet contains the poster and a little discussion:
https://twitter.com/HangryPancreas/status/1011294476260831233

[r4] Medical Press Coverage:
https://www.medpagetoday.com/meetingcoverage/ada/73696
https://www.statnews.com/2018/06/21/type-1-diabetes-vaccine-denise-faustman/

[r5] ADA/JDRF Response:
http://www.diabetes.org/assets/pdfs/news/joint-statement-from-ada-and-jdrf.pdf
and coverage:
https://www.healthline.com/diabetesmine/denise-faustman-research-pushback-ada-jdrf

[r6] The FDA clinical trial record for the phase-I study:
https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT00607230

[r7] The FDA clinical trial record for the phase-II study:
https://www.clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02081326

[r8] More than you ever wanted to know about how the FDA evaluates clinical trial end points:
https://www.fda.gov/downloads/Drugs/.../Guidances/ucm071624.pdf

[r9] This report summarizes the conclusions of the D-Cure workshop of international experts held in Barcelona in April 2007 and the current recommendations and updates in the field:
https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/c337/5ee9865135c7e312417fa7b8b04b9564c776.pdf

[r10] Dr. Faustman's most recent paper describing TNF as the mechanism of a cure was published in 2017:
    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28843039
And she had edited an entire book on the subject in 2014:
    https://www.elsevier.com/books/the-value-of-bcg-and-tnf-in-autoimmunity/faustman/978-0-12-799964-7
And she had several earlier publications on the same (now defunct) theory:
    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3870411/
    http://www.pnas.org/content/105/36/13644

[r11] https://twitter.com/snp_io/status/1010616966523088896
[r12] https://twitter.com/Fallabel/status/1011280750967246848
[r13] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4265871/

[r14] https://www.theguardian.com/science/blog/2014/dec/10/science-health-news-hype-press-releases-universities
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3735615/
https://www.scidev.net/global/health/practical-guide/progress-or-pr-how-to-report-clinical-trials.html
https://www.healthnewsreview.org/2018/04/a-cancer-doctor-speaks-out-how-premature-hype-about-experimental-drugs-fails-patients/

[r16] These are general references for results switching:
    http://compare-trials.org/blog/are-your-results-unusual-or-how-often-are-outcomes-switched/
    https://www.bmj.com/content/356/bmj.j396
    https://www.enago.com/academy/issue-at-hand-outcome-switching-in-clinical-trials/
    https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/side-effects/201604/how-outcome-switching-is-corrupting-medical-research
And this organization:
    http://compare-trials.org/
This abstract is an interesting read as well:
    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-017-09553-y

[r17] Initial results of the BCG phase-I clinical trial:
http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0041756

[r18] This paper argues that A1c is the right end point to measure treatments for type-2 diabetes:
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5350060/

[r19] This is a link to the US FDA's Clinical Trial Registry Site, plus an article about it:
    https://clinicaltrials.gov
    https://www.vox.com/2014/12/6/7344357/clinical-trials-transparency

[r20] Dr. Faustman's Lab has raised about $11 million for their phase-I trial and about $23 million for their phase-II trial:
    https://www.bizjournals.com/boston/news/2016/11/03/mgh-looks-to-reverse-diabetes-with-funding-from.html
    https://www.bizjournals.com/boston/news/2018/06/21/mgh-study-finds-generic-drug-can-reverse-type-i.html

[r21] The two key quotes from her paper are:
As previously published, the elevations in tumor necrosis factor (TNF) from the BCG vaccine stimulate cytotoxic T cell death and beneficial Treg expansion [in live mice and isolated human tissue]
and then:
The mechanism for lowered HbA1c values [in people] was not equivalent to the NOD diabetic mouse pancreas regeneration after BCG treatment
[r22] http://www.ema.europa.eu/docs/en_GB/document_library/Scientific_guideline/2012/06/WC500129256.pdf

[r23] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5748875/

[r24] https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.4161/hv.7.1.14527

Joshua Levy 
http://cureresearch4type1diabetes.blogspot.com 
publicjoshualevy at gmail dot com 
All the views expressed here are those of Joshua Levy, and nothing here is official JDRF, JDCA, or Bigfoot Biomedical news, views, policies or opinions. In my day job, I work in software for Bigfoot Biomedical. My daughter has type-1 diabetes and participates in clinical trials, which might be discussed here. My blog contains a more complete non-conflict of interest statement. Thanks to everyone who helps with the blog.

Wednesday, December 13, 2017

Possible Cures for Type-1 in the News (December)

Here are some "bits and pieces" updates for December.

Update on Dr. Faustman's Phase-II Trial of BCG

Dr. Faustman's lab has published their Fall 2017 newsletter, which you can read here:
http://www.faustmanlab.org/docs/newsletters/DrFaustmanUpdateFall2017.pdf
This newsletter includes more information on her research, especially from the 3rd International BCG conference, The BCG Working Group, and the 2nd edition of the BCG and Autoimmunity book she edited.

There are three pieces of new news there:
  1. The phase-II trial was fully enrolled in Summer of 2017. This is important because we now  know when the trial will end.  Since this is a five year study, they should finish collecting data in Summer of 2022 and publish before Summer of 2023. 
  2. They have given BCG to the three untreated patients from their phase-I trial, so they will have data from six people to report in the future. 
  3. The lab is going to be recruiting for more studies in the future, so would like to hear from anyone who is interested in participating.  No details on future trials were provided.
Another piece of news is that Dr. Faustman is branching out, and trying to apply BCG treatment to Fibromyalgia.  This research is being done in collaboration with EpicGenetics, and they hope to start the trial in early 2018.  If anything applicable to the type-1 world comes up in this research, I'll report it.  Since Fibromyalgia is not generally considered an autoimmune disease, I'm not sure how much "cross pollination" of results there will be.  You can read more about it here:
http://www.prohealth.com/library/showarticle.cfm?libid=30644
http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20170419005324/en/EpicGenetics-Assistance-Leading-Medical-Centers-Expands-Clinical

DILfrequency Trial Completed

There is a lot of research ongoing on IL-2 which is part of the immune system.  About 18 months ago, I summarized all this research here:
http://cureresearch4type1diabetes.blogspot.com/2016/05/general-update-on-il-2-research.html
with an update here:
http://cureresearch4type1diabetes.blogspot.com/2017/01/possible-cures-for-type-1-in-news.html

One of those clinical trials was called "DILfrequency" and that trial has finished, and the results published.  The purpose of that trial was to develop the best dosing method of IL-2 which could then be used in future trials.  ("Best" in this case, meant a stable and known change in the immune system, which the researchers wanted.)  It was successful in terms of telling the researchers what they wanted to know to prepare for future clinical studies.

There are several IL-2 research projects either ongoing or planned to start (including by this group), so I think we'll get a stronger signal in the next few years.

Journal Article: https://www.biorxiv.org/content/early/2017/11/28/223958
Clinical Trial Record: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02265809

Joshua Levy
http://cureresearch4type1diabetes.blogspot.com
publicjoshualevy at gmail dot com
All the views expressed here are those of Joshua Levy, and nothing here is official JDRF or JDCA news, views, policies or opinions. My daughter has type-1 diabetes and participates in clinical trials, which might be discussed here. My blog contains a more complete non-conflict of interest statement. Thanks to everyone who helps with the blog.

Friday, July 14, 2017

Update On Dr. Faustman's BCG Research

There was some media buzz about Dr. Faustman's BCG research as reported on a poster at ADA 2017.  I can't link directly to it, but you can go to this page:
https://ada.apprisor.org/epsSearchADA.cfm
and search for Faustman to see the poster and the abstract.

Dr. Faustman's research has about 15 years of history, which I've blogged about before, here:
* http://cureresearch4type1diabetes.blogspot.com/2014/04/dr-faustman-starts-phase-ii-trial-for.html
* http://cureresearch4type1diabetes.blogspot.com/2012/08/summary-of-drfaustmans-phase-i-results.html
And in several other blogs.

But to summarize very quickly: Dr. Faustman's previous research was based on the idea that BCG (a Tuberculosis vaccine) increases the levels of TNF, and higher TNF levels could result in less autoreactive T cells, and this would lead to a cure for type-1 diabetes.  Unfortunately, this did not pan out.  Her phase-I trial showed that BCG did not change the levels of live autoreactive T cells in circulation.  However, using some non-standard data analysis, Dr. Faustman interpreted the phase-I study to show that there was an increase in T-reg immune cells.  T-reg cells get rid of the autoreactive T cells, so increasing the T-reg cell count could also lead to a cure for type-1 diabetes.

What is the New News?

The poster presented at ADA 2017 contained data on a possible mechanism whereby BCG could increase the level of T-regs in a type-1 diabetic.  This mechanism involved changes to how genes are used in the body (called "epigenetic changes").  These changes can be long lasting.  Obviously, a long lasting treatment is better than a short lasting one, so (if this finding is confirmed by more research) this is good news.

Also, although not required, it is nice to have a theoretical basis for why a treatment should work, if you are going to test that treatment. This is particularly true of the BCG research, since the phase-I trial showed pretty clearly that the previous theory was wrong, so having a new theory is good.

How Important Is This?

In my opinion, it is not very important. Why not?  In a nutshell:
1. It's a finding about a possible mechanism of how a cure works, not evidence of effectiveness, for a treatment where effectiveness is the important, unanswered question.
2. It's based on data from 3 people.
3. It's a poster, not a presentation (or a paper).

1. It's a mechanistic finding so it is aimed at answering the question "how does BCG work?", but the important question is "does BCG work?"  That needs to be answered before the "how" question is important.  The results from the phase-I trial were not successful (see discussion below).  Therefore, for me, research into the mechanism of how it might work is less important until we get some evidence that it does work.

2. Dr. Faustman's phase-I study gave BCG to only three people.  It is the smallest phase-I study I have ever covered in the field of type-1 diabetes.  This poster is based on data from those same 3 people, and that is not a large enough foundation to get me excited.

3. As a poster, this is a lesser form of publication, than a journal article or a presentation.  That is not fatal, of course, but it is a handicap.  For comparison, Gleevec and Oral Insulin both merited presentations, so the organizers of the ADA scientific sessions clearly thought that those studies were more important than this BCG result.  (And I agree with them.)

Some Discussion on The Results From the Phase-I Trial

Obviously, Dr. Faustman considers the phase-I trial to be a success, which is why she has started a phase-II trial, so why do I consider it unsuccessful?  For two reasons:

First, the normal definition of success for a clinical trial is successful results from the primary outcome.  Her phase-I trial's primary outcome was autoreactive T cells, and there was no difference between the the treated group and the control group.  So that's an unsuccessful result.

She did report two tiny successful outcomes in her secondary results.  But to get those, she had to do two different data manipulations.  I discussed those in detail in 2012 when the original results were published:
http://cureresearch4type1diabetes.blogspot.com/2012/08/details-of-dr-faustmans-phase-i-results.html
See the section called "Weaknesses in Data Analysis".

A very short summary is:
1. She shifted 1/3 of her control group to be analysed as though it were in the treatment group, after she had seen the results, and saw that would change the outcomes.
2. She did not use a single control group.  Rather, she used different control groups for different outcomes, including (in some cases) pulling data from other studies.

My older blog posting describes in detail how damaging these are to her analysis.  But suffice it to say, if the data shows success, there is no reason to do those manipulations.  And if the data is successful (even at a tiny level), only after those manipulations, then how real is it?

Now, if her phase-II study (which is expected to enroll about 150 people) is successful using standard data analysis techniques, then she can rerun this poster study with data from those 150 people.  She will then have more people and a successful treatment and at that point, a mechanistic study would be interesting. The phase-II study is expected to end around 2023.


Joshua Levy 
http://cureresearch4type1diabetes.blogspot.com
publicjoshualevy at gmail dot com
All the views expressed here are those of Joshua Levy, and nothing here is official JDRF or JDCA news, views, policies or opinions. My daughter has type-1 diabetes and participates in clinical trials, which might be discussed here. My blog contains a more complete non-conflict of interest statement. Thanks to everyone who helps with the blog.

Tuesday, March 21, 2017

Possible Cures for Type-1 in the News (March)

ViaCyte Starts A Three Year Follow-up Safety Study in Subjects Previously Implanted With VC-01™
This clinical trial is studying people who were part of ViaCyte's clinical trial of VC-01™, an encapsulated beta cell cure.  Once the device is removed at the end of the study, the patients can enroll in this follow on study which tracks them for three additional years, looking for adverse effects.

ViaCyte is a commercial company testing an encapsulated beta cell cure.  You can read my previous blogging about them here: http://cureresearch4type1diabetes.blogspot.com/search/label/ViaCyte
They are in the middle of a large Phase-I study, which could finish as early as 2020.

Clinical record: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02939118

Discussion

I'm hopeful that this means that one person has finished the ViaCyte protocol, which is motivating them to start this follow on.  The other option is that they are just planning ahead.  Since there is no control group, the interim data could be published, if ViaCyte wanted.

Two Phase-I Studies Start with Umbilical Cord Treg Cells 
These two studies have a lot in common, so I'm going to discuss them together: first, their similarities, then their differences. Here are the similarities:
  • They are both run by the same researcher (Dr. Zhiguang Zhou) at the same hospital (Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University).
  • They recruit at the same place: Institute of Metabolism and Endocrinology, Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China, 410011
    Contact: Zhiguang Zhou, MD/PhD    86-731-85292154    zhouzg@hotmail.com
  • They have already started recruiting 40 people, and expect to finish in 2019.
  • These trials are open to people who have been diagnosed within 3 years and are between 6 and 60 years old.
  • Each has a primary end point which is safety related, and secondary endpoints which are effectiveness related and include C-peptide, A1c, insulin usage, etc.
  • Both studies will work with stem cells which have been harvested from umbilical blood, separated into components, and had the T-reg cells "grown out" for two weeks.  These enriched T-reg cells will be infused into patients.  T-reg cells are regulatory cells which are part of the immune system, and work by controlling other immune cells so that those other cells don't attack beta cells.

The first study is Safety Study and Therapeutic Effects of Umbilical Cord Blood Treg on Autoimmune Diabetes: This study will have two groups, one will get the treatment, and one will be a control group and will not get the treatment.

Clinical trial registry: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02932826

The second study is Safety and Efficacy of Umbilical Cord Blood Regulatory T Cells Plus Liraglutide on Autoimmune Diabetes: This study has four groups.  One will get the treatment and also Liraglutide, another just the treatment, a third just Liraglutide, and a fourth will be a control group.  Liraglutide (sold as Victoza) is similar to exenatide (Byetta), which is a common type-2 medication, but is also sometimes used on type-1.  Victoza is a weekly injection. 

Clinical trial registry: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03011021

Discussion

The researchers are not clear on why they are using Liraglutide, but site its "various benefits for beta cells". They expect it will increase the effectiveness of the new T-regs, possibly by encouraging beta cell growth.

JDCA's Update on Dr. Faustman's Research

An update on Dr. Faustman's BCG research by the JDCA (Juvenile Diabetes Cure Alliance) is here:
http://eepurl.com/cHrGqX

My key takeaway points are:
* The Phase-II trial should finish in 2023.
* They have enrolled 125 out of the 150 they need.
* An 8 year follow up from their Phase-I trial should be published by the end of 2017.

(Remember, I am a fellow of the JDCA and we regularly discuss various research programs, including this one.)
Joshua Levy
http://cureresearch4type1diabetes.blogspot.com
publicjoshualevy at gmail dot com
All the views expressed here are those of Joshua Levy, and nothing here is official JDRF or JDCA news, views, policies or opinions. My daughter has type-1 diabetes and participates in clinical trials, which might be discussed here. My blog contains a more complete non-conflict of interest statement. Thanks to everyone who helps with the blog.

Wednesday, June 22, 2016

Summary of ADA 2016

Every year the American Diabetes Association holds the largest diabetes conference of the year.  This year it was in New Orleans.  Attendance was over 16,000 people with 58% international participation. Although I did not attend, I did read (or at least skim) all the abstracts, and read all the tagged tweets that came out of the meeting.  This is my summary.  There were 100s of abstracts, scores of talks, and 1000s of tweets, so I'm only mentioning the most interesting items here.  I've divided this posting into four sections:

  • A very quick summary of the most important findings.
  • Coverage of clinical trials aimed at curing type-1 diabetes.
  • Coverage of research aimed at curing type-1 diabetes (but not yet in people).
  • Other items of interest.
A Very Quick Summary

The big type-1 news was all about artificial pancreas research.  The "Do It Yourself" artificial pancreas crew had a poster or two, plus a few meetings, but they dominated the buzz for the first day of the convention.  The commercial / professional artificial pancreas developers took over for the second day, with lots of published data.  

There was also more focus this year on "Quality of Life" issues.  Not just better numbers, but a better life.  More discussion of the whole person, and not just BGs and A1Cs.  Memorable quote was "The data alone can't be enough to make a decision", but I did not write down who said it.  There was also some discussion of using more patient friendly terminology (especially in the type-2 world).

In the world of type-2, the LEADER study showing several good outcomes from using liraglutide‎/Victoza and more data from EMPA-REG (both huge studies) made big news.  Everyone was talking about Metformin as though it was the next Vitamin-D (or the Vitamin-C of the 1970s...).

You'll notice I didn't mention much about clinical trials aimed at curing type-1 diabetes, or even curing type-1 at all.  There were two posters on clinical trials aimed at curing type-1 diabetes, and less than 10 talks aimed at curing type-1 diabetes, and that was about it.

This is DiabetesMine's summary of ADA 2016 (they cover a lot of topics which I do not):


Reports From Clinical Trials Aimed At Curing Type-1 Diabetes 

Combination Therapy with ATG + GCSF in Established Type 1 Diabetes: Two-Year Outcomes
Poster 1676-P:  
These researchers had previously reported beta cell preservation at 12 months.  (Meaning that most diabetics lost beta cells over time, but for those treated with ATG and GCSF their beta cell count remained constant.)  The result here is that after two years, treated and untreated people with type-1 diabetes had the same C-peptide numbers, so whatever advantage was seen after a year was not seen after two years.  (There were some immunological differences seen, but the C-peptide numbers, which are the most important in terms of a cure for type-1, were the same.)

Update on BCG Clinical Program for Reversal of Established Type 1 Diabetes


This is an update on Dr. Faustman's  phase-II study of BCG, which I've blogged on before.  The key new information is that they have recruited 125 patients out of the 150 people they need.  For one year of recruiting at one site, that is strong progress.  It suggests they will be fully enrolled by the end of the year.  Since the study runs for 5 years, we can expect completion in late 2021 and publication thereafter.  

Also, there is a single line on the poster about "Clinical Program 3" which is a new study.   It will give repeat doses of BCG to people who were already in the phase-I trial.  I think of it as a follow on study to the phase-I trial.  Since only three people got BCG in the phase-I trial, this clinical program will be tiny.

5-IT-SY03 - What Is the Future of Immunotherapy for Type 1 Diabetes?
This session contained about 5 talks which focused on using immunology to cure type-1 diabetes. Unfortunately, there were no abstracts for the talks, and no information about them at all.  So my only knowledge is a few tweets and web articles.
  1. Here is the official ADA preview of the session:
    http://www.diabetesdispatchextra.org/new-trials-testing-immunotherapy-for-type-1-diabetes/
  2. There was general optimism about IL-2 (which I just recently blogged about).
    https://twitter.com/em_saidwhat/status/742120883129593857
  3. There was pessimism about antigen-based therapies (ie. blocking the immune system's reaction to a specific target):  "Antigen-based new onset and Immunomodulatory onset studies have really not showed any positive substantial results.  --Jay Skyler MD"
    https://twitter.com/Diabetesdad/status/742109575868882944
Safety and Tolerability Results from a Phase-I study of Phizer's PF-06342674
PF-06342674 is a antibody that blocks a part of the immune system (IL-7 binding). This trial is testing physical properties of the treatment (how much ends up in the body, how quickly the body sheds it, any adverse effects, etc.) This is called "safety and tolerability". This trial is not in any way testing that PF-06342674 will treat or cure type-1 diabetes, but based on what is learned here, future studies could test this as either a treatment or a cure.

Optimistic Overview of Transplanting Pig Islet Cells Into People
http://www.ajmc.com/conferences/ada2016/islet-cell-transplantation-addressing-the-underlying-defect-in-type-1-diabetes
My comments: LCT is the company farthest along in transplanting pig islet cells.  They have done several phase-I and phase-II clinical trials, but the results have not led to a cure as yet.  As for islets from stem cells, Viacyte has started a phase-I trial.  Neither LCT nor Viacyte announced new data at ADA 2016 (that I know of).

Leptin (Metreleptin) In Patients With Type-1
We conclude that metreleptin was not efficacious in improving glycemic control in T1DM although it reduced body weight and daily insulin dose modestly.
My comments: In the past I have covered Leptin as a possible cure for type-1 diabetes.  However, this study suggests that, while it might lower insulin usage, it is not a cure.

Other Cure Research 
(I'm including a few AP papers here, but nowhere near all of them.)  From here down, this posting is mostly links to other sources of information.  Different people will be interested in different topics, so I encourage you to read the source material for the topics you care about.  My few comments are in italics.

Transplants  (But Still Need Lifetime Immunospressive Drugs)
http://www.abstractsonline.com/pp8/#!/4008/presentation/44271
My comments: one patient, but successful.

Tidepool
873-P / 873 - Pilot Study of Tidepool’s Blip Application for Data Visualization in Type 1 Diabetes (T1D)
http://www.abstractsonline.com/pp8/#!/4008/presentation/39609

AP Papers, Posters, Tweets, etc.

What do people think an AP is?  (It turns out to be totally different than what I think it is.)
http://www.abstractsonline.com/pp8/#!/4008/presentation/39746

More commerical AP links:



DiabetesMine @DiabetesMine
In designing AP pivotal trials, discussion is to make them 6-12 months to pursuade payers. Beyond FDA's 3-month requirement. #2016ADA
https://twitter.com/DiabetesMine/status/742167089453006848
My comment on this last tweet: The FDA has made it clear that they will approve APs based on 3 month clinical trials.  (I think this even covers bihormonal APs, which would include approving a lifetime of Glucagon micro doses with only 3 months of testing.)  However insurance companies may not pay for APs based on 3 months of data.  They might argue for more data to show it really is better.  Therefore there is pressure to run longer phase-III trials, so that one trial can lead to both FDA approval and insurance company payment.  But that would delay initial FDA approval while the longer trials completed.  There was a similar issue in CGMs.  They were approved by the FDA, but some insurance companies would not reimburse until the JDRF funded a longer study that showed benefits that the insurance companies could accept.


More "we are not waiting" (Homebrew AP) links:
While using #OpenAPS: self-reported outcome measures showed median HbA1c dropped from 7.1% (SD 0.8%) to 6.2% (SD 0.5%). #2016ADAWhile using #OpenAPS: self-reported outcome measures showed median HbA1c dropped from 7.1% (SD 0.8%) to 6.2% (SD 0.5%). #2016ADA
https://twitter.com/danamlewis/status/741671445911248896
#OpenAPS self-reported outcome measures showed median percent time in range (80-180 mg/dL) increased 58% (SD 14%) to 81% (SD 8%). #2016ADA
https://openaps.org/2016/06/11/real-world-use-of-open-source-artificial-pancreas-systems-poster-presented-at-american-diabetes-association-scientific-sessions/
Of note: user growth of #OpenAPS is doubling every 3 months, even though users must self-build these AP systems. #2016ADA
https://twitter.com/danamlewis/status/741671296245862401
My comment: that is a growth curve that any high-tech start up would be proud of.

Other Interesting Research
There were vast amounts of "my new insulin is better than your existing insulin" research.  None of that is included here.  If you care about the new insulins, I would search the ADA material directly, or wait for the press release announcing it is for sale in your country.

Easing the Child to Young Adult Transition
Two good tweets from Dan Browne:
Monaghan: for young adults, shared responsibility w/ parents for t1d care correlates with worse hbA1C. #2016ADA @collegediabetes
https://twitter.com/nakedsucrose/status/742719716632862721
#2016ADA Monaghan: protective factors for YA A1C: pers. responsibility, contact w providers, fear of hyperglyc. #2016ADA @collegediabetes
https://twitter.com/nakedsucrose/status/742719143649017856
My comment: what this seems to say is that giving young adults personal responsibility for their BG is a better strategy than shared responsibility.  I don't think that is conventional wisdom, however.  I do think this talk will be available on line in the future, and will be worth viewing when it is.

Systematic Population Screening, Using Biomarkers and Genetic Testing, Identifies 2.5% of the U.K. Pediatric Diabetes Population With Monogenic Diabetes.
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27271189
via Eleen Ullman's tweet:
https://twitter.com/CureT1Diabetes/status/741676639096963073

CGMs Beat Diabetic Alert Dogs 
Basically, CGMs detected lows earlier than dogs, and dogs often alerted when there was not a low situation.  You can read more in this news article:
http://www.healio.com/endocrinology/diabetes/news/online/%7B7577bf07-3df7-4937-82fd-7bf741697f60%7D/service-dogs-can-detect-hypoglycemia-alert-companion
http://www.medpagetoday.com/clinical-context/Diabetes/58474
And three tweets on that talk:
https://twitter.com/dcarbohydrated/status/741645653969928192
https://twitter.com/KellyRawlings/status/741644965407789056
https://twitter.com/sstrumello/status/741649562847305728

Causes of Death for People With Type-1
http://www.abstractsonline.com/pp8/#!/4008/presentation/40218
1473-P / 1473 - Causes of Death in the First 100 Type 1 Diabetes (T1D) Donors in the Network for Pancreatic Organ Donors with Diabetes (nPOD)
My comment: the link above goes to an abstract.  It is tough to read but important.  Deaths directly caused by type-1 were very common.  So was suicide and drug use.  This is very cautionary data which should not be ignored.

Inhaled Insulin
MannKind announces more data (six posters) on their inhaled insulin: 


Dosing For Protein
Pratik Choudhary tweeted:
#2016ADA - preliminary results show 60 gms protein require 25% more insulin - practically - % increase of bolus with increased fat or prot
https://twitter.com/drpratikc/status/741760675622621184

Nasal Glucagon
https://twitter.com/SEDiabetes/status/742732325914562561

Type-1 Diabetes and Autism
http://www.abstractsonline.com/pp8/#!/4008/presentation/40873
http://www.abstractsonline.com/pp8/#!/4008/presentation/40901

Type-1 Diabetes and Sleep Apnea
http://www.abstractsonline.com/pp8/#!/4008/presentation/39594

Metformin (there was far more than this)
https://twitter.com/Doctor_Deena/status/741377801996009472
http://www.abstractsonline.com/pp8/#!/4008/presentation/39832

Type-2 
Shaming Is Common:
https://twitter.com/janespeight/status/742360128716984320
LEADER data:
https://twitter.com/kellyclose/status/742476794352144384
http://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa1603827#.V18nymZf1mY.twitter
My comments: If you have type-2, you may want to discuss this with your doctor.  (And even if you don't, your doctor may want to discuss it with you. :-)
EMPA-REG data:
https://twitter.com/RpratleyMD/status/742711726978699266
Position paper on terminology for "Diabetes"
https://static.diabetesaustralia.com.au/s/fileassets/diabetes-australia/9864613f-6bc0-4773-9337-751e953777cd.pdf
My comments: This statement misses what I consider the two most important rules:
Differentiate between type-1 and type-2 diabetes! (when appropriate)
Do not say "diabetes" when you mean "type-2 diabetes" or when you mean "type-1 diabetes".


More Interesting Tweets:

Doctor Deena @Doctor_Deena
Amazing #technology for #diabetes-- a skin patch using wavelengths to deliver #insulin into skin pores. #2016ada
https://twitter.com/Doctor_Deena/status/741745686526361600

Mark Harmel MPH, CDE @MarkHarmel
Results of DiaMonD study (CGM in MDI users) impressive. #2016ADA Fewer highs, lows and reduced variability. + Lower A1C by 0.9% at 24 weeks
https://twitter.com/MarkHarmel/status/742120533848936449
My comment: MDI is multiple daily injections.  What this study is showing is that even people who are not using a pump will benefit from using a CGM.  While I suspect this is true, I'm not sure it is useful, because I suspect these people don't want or cannot use a CGM for the same reason they don't want or cannot use a pump: they don't want an attachment or can not afford it.  Telling non-users "it is good for you" will not make them users: they know it is good for them.  They have other reasons for not using it.

Dr.Harsha Doddihal @Harshadod
Consuming #proteins followed by carbs could be beneficial in #glycemic control! Poster 62-LB
https://twitter.com/Harshadod/status/742123177766223872
My comment: is this news?  I always thought eating carbs after non-carbs led to smaller post meal BG spikes.


Joshua Levy 
http://cureresearch4type1diabetes.blogspot.com
publicjoshualevy at gmail dot com
All the views expressed here are those of Joshua Levy, and nothing here is official JDRF or JDCA news, views, policies or opinions. My daughter has type-1 diabetes and participates in clinical trials, which might be discussed here. My blog contains a more complete non-conflict of interest statement. Thanks to everyone who helps with the blog.